VZ — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Cash it generates and Business quality. Most lacking: Balance sheet and Sales engine.
Worth $187 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $1.87 T.
Sales +2% last quarter (year over year) and +3% last fiscal year.
Gross margin 60%, operating margin 25%, return on equity 16%.
Free cash flow $16.0 B a year = 8.6% of its value.
Trades at 1.3× sales: 0.67 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net debt equal to 102% of its value.
Government contracts with firm money = 0.1% of its value · outside the Faro megatrends · insiders own 0.1%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (49%) · below its 200-day average · beating the S&P 500 by 3 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year VZ is up 15.6%. Over about two years: +9.7%.
- Today it sits 12.4% below its 52-week high ($51.45) and +15.8% above the low ($38.91).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 19.0%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 50% of days. Best day: +11.8%. Worst day: -10.1%.
- Annual volatility around 32%: in a normal year a ±32% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Neutral | 49% | $45.06 +0.0% | $44.16 – $45.97 |
| 3 days | Neutral | 49% | $45.08 +0.1% | $43.54 – $46.67 |
| 1 week | Neutral | 49% | $45.09 +0.1% | $43.12 – $47.16 |
| 15 days | Neutral | 50% | $45.13 +0.2% | $42.36 – $48.09 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 50% | $45.23 +0.4% | $41.26 – $49.58 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 51% | $45.58 +1.2% | $38.88 – $53.44 |
Recent momentum: -1.7% over 20 days · -4.3% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 VZ government contracts
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Toll free contact center services enterprise infrastructure solutions. exercise of option year 7.
💡 Worth <0.1% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $40 M. Stock since the announcement: -9.4%.
Hhs enterprise infrastructure solutions (eis) task order
💡 Worth <0.1% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $84 M. Stock since the announcement: -10.6%.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about VZ
Could VZ be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 47/100 (mixed): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has VZ gone up in the last year?
Verizon Communications (VZ) is up 15.6% over the last 12 months and trades at $45.05, 12.4% below its 52-week high ($51.45). 52-week range: $38.91 – $51.45.
How volatile is VZ stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 32% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 19.0%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does VZ have U.S. government contracts?
Yes. Faro's register lists 2 contracts; the most recent: Department of the Treasury, $40 M, Sep 9, 2026.
Is now a good time to buy VZ?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: neutral technical bias, RSI 57, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 50% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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