SLV — analysis and forecast
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year SLV is up 2.8%. Over about two years: +53.8%.
- Today it sits 56.8% below its 52-week high ($105.60) and +6.6% above the low ($42.74).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 57.8%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 55% of days. Best day: +9.0%. Worst day: -28.5%.
- Annual volatility around 39%: in a normal year a ±39% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bearish | 39% | $45.61 +0.1% | $44.50 – $46.75 |
| 3 days | Strongly bearish | 39% | $45.69 +0.3% | $43.78 – $47.68 |
| 1 week | Strongly bearish | 39% | $45.77 +0.4% | $43.31 – $48.37 |
| 15 days | Strongly bearish | 39% | $45.96 +0.9% | $42.51 – $49.70 |
| 1 month | Strongly bearish | 40% | $46.40 +1.8% | $41.44 – $51.96 |
| 3 months | Strongly bearish | 43% | $48.12 +5.6% | $39.55 – $58.53 |
Recent momentum: -17.3% over 20 days · -20.7% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for SLV. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about SLV
How much has SLV gone up in the last year?
iShares Silver Trust (SLV) is up 2.8% over the last 12 months and trades at $45.57, 56.8% below its 52-week high ($105.60). 52-week range: $42.74 – $105.60.
How volatile is SLV stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 39% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 57.8%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does SLV have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy SLV?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bearish technical bias, RSI 25 (oversold zone), price below its 50-day average and an estimated 40% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
🔦 Keep analyzing
Other stocks Faro watches