MWH — analysis and forecast
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the 181 sessions we have for MWH it moved -22.4%.
- Today it sits 48.7% below its 52-week high ($46.77) and +12.3% above the low ($21.38).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 54.3%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 49% of days. Best day: +17.1%. Worst day: -9.3%.
- Annual volatility around 62%: in a normal year a ±62% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 43% | $23.97 -0.1% | $23.05 – $24.92 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 42% | $23.90 -0.4% | $22.34 – $25.57 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 41% | $23.83 -0.7% | $21.84 – $26.01 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 39% | $23.67 -1.4% | $20.92 – $26.78 |
| 1 month | Bearish | 36% | $23.31 -2.9% | $19.49 – $27.88 |
| 3 months | Strongly bearish | 29% | $21.98 -8.4% | $16.12 – $29.97 |
Recent momentum: -4.3% over 20 days · -17.3% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for MWH. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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How much has MWH fallen in the last year?
SOLV Energy (MWH) is down 22.4% over the period with data and trades at $24.00, 48.7% below its 52-week high ($46.77). 52-week range: $21.38 – $46.77.
How volatile is MWH stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 62% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 54.3%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does MWH have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy MWH?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bearish technical bias, RSI 41, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 36% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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