MWC — analysis and forecast
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the 118 sessions we have for MWC it moved -82.4%.
- Today it sits 82.4% below its 52-week high ($8.20) and +29.7% above the low ($1.11).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 86.5%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 35% of days. Best day: +51.5%. Worst day: -34.3%.
- Annual volatility around 139%: in a normal year a ±139% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 42% | $1.44 -0.2% | $1.32 – $1.57 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 40% | $1.43 -0.7% | $1.23 – $1.66 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 39% | $1.42 -1.2% | $1.17 – $1.73 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 37% | $1.41 -2.4% | $1.07 – $1.86 |
| 1 month | Bearish | 33% | $1.37 -4.9% | $0.92 – $2.05 |
| 3 months | Strongly bearish | 25% | $1.24 -13.9% | $0.62 – $2.49 |
Recent momentum: -8.3% over 20 days · +2.1% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for MWC. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
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How much has MWC fallen in the last year?
Micware (MWC) is down 82.4% over the period with data and trades at $1.44, 82.4% below its 52-week high ($8.20). 52-week range: $1.11 – $8.20.
How volatile is MWC stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 139% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 86.5%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does MWC have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy MWC?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bearish technical bias, RSI 39, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 33% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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