KBR — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Price vs. growth and Room to grow. Most lacking: Balance sheet and Sales engine.
Worth $5.0 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $50.1 B.
Sales +5% last quarter (year over year) and +1% last fiscal year.
Gross margin 15%, operating margin 7%, return on equity 27%.
Free cash flow $271 M a year = 5.4% of its value.
Trades at 0.6× sales: 0.23 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net debt equal to 47% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · outside the Faro megatrends · insiders own 1.2%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (63%) · above its 200-day average · trailing the S&P 500 by 18 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year KBR is down 4.4%. Over about two years: -41.1%.
- Today it sits 11.8% below its 52-week high ($44.98) and +32.0% above the low ($30.06).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 33.2%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 50% of days. Best day: +7.3%. Worst day: -6.6%.
- Annual volatility around 32%: in a normal year a ±32% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bullish | 59% | $39.65 -0.1% | $38.85 – $40.46 |
| 3 days | Strongly bullish | 58% | $39.56 -0.3% | $38.20 – $40.98 |
| 1 week | Strongly bullish | 57% | $39.48 -0.5% | $37.73 – $41.31 |
| 15 days | Strongly bullish | 55% | $39.27 -1.1% | $36.83 – $41.87 |
| 1 month | Bullish | 51% | $38.82 -2.2% | $35.37 – $42.59 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 43% | $37.12 -6.5% | $31.61 – $43.60 |
Recent momentum: +15.0% over 20 days · +4.3% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for KBR. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about KBR
Could KBR be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 51/100 (mixed): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has KBR fallen in the last year?
KBR (KBR) is down 4.4% over the last 12 months and trades at $39.69, 11.8% below its 52-week high ($44.98). 52-week range: $30.06 – $44.98.
How volatile is KBR stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 32% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 33.2%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does KBR have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy KBR?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bullish technical bias, RSI 73 (overbought zone), price above its 50-day average and an estimated 51% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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