GSG — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Multibagger DNA is computed for companies, not ETFs or funds.
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year GSG is up 54.3%. Over about two years: +65.8%.
- Today it sits 5.7% below its 52-week high ($37.70) and +58.2% above the low ($22.48).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 18.8%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 54% of days. Best day: +5.3%. Worst day: -6.7%.
- Annual volatility around 23%: in a normal year a ±23% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bullish | 55% | $35.60 +0.1% | $35.08 – $36.12 |
| 3 days | Bullish | 56% | $35.67 +0.3% | $34.78 – $36.58 |
| 1 week | Bullish | 57% | $35.74 +0.5% | $34.60 – $36.92 |
| 15 days | Bullish | 59% | $35.92 +1.0% | $34.31 – $37.61 |
| 1 month | Bullish | 62% | $36.32 +2.2% | $33.99 – $38.82 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 69% | $37.90 +6.6% | $33.78 – $42.53 |
Recent momentum: +0.3% over 20 days · +14.4% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for GSG. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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How much has GSG gone up in the last year?
iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is up 54.3% over the last 12 months and trades at $35.56, 5.7% below its 52-week high ($37.70). 52-week range: $22.48 – $37.70.
How volatile is GSG stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 23% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 18.8%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does GSG have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy GSG?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bullish technical bias, RSI 36, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 62% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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