ELMT — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Room to grow and Price vs. growth. Most lacking: Business quality and Cash it generates.
Worth $674 M. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $6.7 B.
Sales +35% last quarter (year over year) and — last fiscal year.
Gross margin 23%, operating margin -11%, return on equity —.
No free cash flow data.
Trades at 2.9× sales: 0.08 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net cash equal to 7% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 66.2%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (74%) · above its 200-day average · beating the S&P 500 by 19 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the 133 sessions we have for ELMT it moved +23.6%.
- Today it sits 8.1% below its 52-week high ($24.08) and +73.7% above the low ($12.74).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 42.3%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 51% of days. Best day: +32.8%. Worst day: -12.1%.
- Annual volatility around 95%: in a normal year a ±95% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bullish | 58% | $22.17 +0.2% | $20.88 – $23.53 |
| 3 days | Bullish | 58% | $22.24 +0.5% | $20.05 – $24.65 |
| 1 week | Bullish | 59% | $22.31 +0.8% | $19.52 – $25.49 |
| 15 days | Strongly bullish | 59% | $22.48 +1.6% | $18.62 – $27.15 |
| 1 month | Strongly bullish | 59% | $22.88 +3.4% | $17.41 – $30.07 |
| 3 months | Strongly bullish | 61% | $24.46 +10.5% | $15.24 – $39.26 |
Recent momentum: +3.9% over 20 days · +31.3% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for ELMT. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about ELMT
Could ELMT be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 71/100 (promising): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has ELMT gone up in the last year?
The Elmet (ELMT) is up 23.6% over the period with data and trades at $22.13, 8.1% below its 52-week high ($24.08). 52-week range: $12.74 – $24.08.
How volatile is ELMT stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 95% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 42.3%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does ELMT have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy ELMT?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bullish technical bias, RSI 54, price above its 50-day average and an estimated 59% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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