DBMF — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Multibagger DNA is computed for companies, not ETFs or funds.
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year DBMF is up 12.6%. Over about two years: +19.1%.
- Today it sits 4.0% below its 52-week high ($33.31) and +14.1% above the low ($28.04).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 6.1%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 56% of days. Best day: +3.3%. Worst day: -3.9%.
- Annual volatility around 10%: in a normal year a ±10% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 46% | $32.00 +0.0% | $31.80 – $32.21 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 47% | $32.02 +0.1% | $31.67 – $32.38 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 48% | $32.05 +0.2% | $31.59 – $32.51 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 50% | $32.10 +0.4% | $31.46 – $32.76 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 53% | $32.23 +0.7% | $31.29 – $33.19 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 59% | $32.70 +2.2% | $31.08 – $34.41 |
Recent momentum: -3.4% over 20 days · +3.4% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for DBMF. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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How much has DBMF gone up in the last year?
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF (DBMF) is up 12.6% over the last 12 months and trades at $31.99, 4.0% below its 52-week high ($33.31). 52-week range: $28.04 – $33.31.
How volatile is DBMF stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 10% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 6.1%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does DBMF have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy DBMF?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bearish technical bias, RSI 29 (oversold zone), price below its 50-day average and an estimated 53% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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