DAVE — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Business quality and Price vs. growth. Most lacking: Faro seal and Cash it generates.
Worth $4.1 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $41.1 B.
Sales +30% last quarter (year over year) and +60% last fiscal year · slowing.
Gross margin 72%, operating margin 33%, return on equity 105%.
Free cash flow $167 M a year = 4.1% of its value.
Trades at 6.4× sales: 0.14 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net debt equal to 0% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · outside the Faro megatrends · insiders own 10.4%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (55%) · above its 200-day average · beating the S&P 500 by 21 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year DAVE is up 43.6%. Over about two years: +754.5%.
- Today it sits 27.3% below its 52-week high ($442.53) and +106.4% above the low ($155.92).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 36.9%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 55% of days. Best day: +17.5%. Worst day: -15.1%.
- Annual volatility around 70%: in a normal year a ±70% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 44% | $322.65 +0.2% | $308.72 – $337.20 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 44% | $324.19 +0.7% | $300.34 – $349.93 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 46% | $325.73 +1.2% | $295.13 – $359.51 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 48% | $329.64 +2.4% | $286.71 – $378.99 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 52% | $338.38 +5.1% | $276.44 – $414.21 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 60% | $373.97 +16.2% | $263.48 – $530.80 |
Recent momentum: -12.8% over 20 days · +1.2% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for DAVE. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about DAVE
Could DAVE be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 81/100 (strong multibagger dna): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has DAVE gone up in the last year?
Dave (DAVE) is up 43.6% over the last 12 months and trades at $321.88, 27.3% below its 52-week high ($442.53). 52-week range: $155.92 – $442.53.
How volatile is DAVE stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 70% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 36.9%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does DAVE have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy DAVE?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bearish technical bias, RSI 37, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 52% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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