CPER — analysis and forecast
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year CPER is up 24.7%. Over about two years: +41.5%.
- Today it sits 5.0% below its 52-week high ($41.43) and +29.0% above the low ($30.53).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 16.4%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 56% of days. Best day: +5.2%. Worst day: -5.9%.
- Annual volatility around 22%: in a normal year a ±22% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 48% | $39.40 +0.1% | $38.86 – $39.94 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 49% | $39.45 +0.2% | $38.52 – $40.41 |
| 1 week | Neutral | 50% | $39.51 +0.3% | $38.31 – $40.74 |
| 15 days | Neutral | 52% | $39.64 +0.7% | $37.95 – $41.41 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 54% | $39.95 +1.5% | $37.50 – $42.55 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 60% | $41.13 +4.5% | $36.87 – $45.89 |
Recent momentum: -1.2% over 20 days · -1.3% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for CPER. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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How much has CPER gone up in the last year?
United States Copper Index Fund, LP (CPER) is up 24.7% over the last 12 months and trades at $39.37, 5.0% below its 52-week high ($41.43). 52-week range: $30.53 – $41.43.
How volatile is CPER stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 22% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 16.4%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does CPER have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy CPER?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: neutral technical bias, RSI 41, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 54% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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