CBRS — analysis and forecast
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the 118 sessions we have for CBRS it moved -69.0%.
- Today it sits 69.0% below its 52-week high ($311.07) and +0.0% above the low ($96.36).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 69.0%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 43% of days. Best day: +19.9%. Worst day: -19.6%.
- Annual volatility around 106%: in a normal year a ±106% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bearish | 38% | $96.13 -0.2% | $89.92 – $102.78 |
| 3 days | Strongly bearish | 37% | $95.67 -0.7% | $85.21 – $107.42 |
| 1 week | Strongly bearish | 35% | $95.22 -1.2% | $82.00 – $110.57 |
| 15 days | Strongly bearish | 33% | $94.09 -2.4% | $76.17 – $116.24 |
| 1 month | Strongly bearish | 30% | $91.66 -4.9% | $67.48 – $124.51 |
| 3 months | Strongly bearish | 22% | $82.94 -13.9% | $48.79 – $140.98 |
Recent momentum: -46.9% over 20 days · -57.5% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for CBRS. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
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How much has CBRS fallen in the last year?
Cerebras Systems (CBRS) is down 69.0% over the period with data and trades at $96.36, 69.0% below its 52-week high ($311.07). 52-week range: $96.36 – $311.07.
How volatile is CBRS stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 106% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 69.0%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does CBRS have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy CBRS?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bearish technical bias, RSI 19 (oversold zone), price below its 50-day average and an estimated 30% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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