BXDC — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Room to grow and Balance sheet. Most lacking: Business quality and Faro seal.
Worth $1.6 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $15.9 B.
Not enough sales data.
Gross margin 0%, operating margin 0%, return on equity —.
No free cash flow data.
Trades at —× sales with no growth to back it.
Net cash equal to 122% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · outside the Faro megatrends · insiders own 0.5%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): near its 12-month low · below its 200-day average · trailing the S&P 500 by 31 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the 118 sessions we have for BXDC it moved -20.1%.
- Today it sits 29.2% below its 52-week high ($22.34) and +1.2% above the low ($15.64).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 30.0%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 45% of days. Best day: +6.9%. Worst day: -5.0%.
- Annual volatility around 29%: in a normal year a ±29% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 39% | $15.79 -0.2% | $15.50 – $16.08 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 37% | $15.73 -0.6% | $15.23 – $16.24 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 35% | $15.67 -0.9% | $15.03 – $16.33 |
| 15 days | Strongly bearish | 32% | $15.52 -1.9% | $14.64 – $16.46 |
| 1 month | Strongly bearish | 28% | $15.20 -3.9% | $13.96 – $16.54 |
| 3 months | Strongly bearish | 19% | $14.03 -11.3% | $12.11 – $16.25 |
Recent momentum: -8.1% over 20 days · -20.9% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for BXDC. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about BXDC
Could BXDC be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 50/100 (mixed): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has BXDC fallen in the last year?
Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust (BXDC) is down 20.1% over the period with data and trades at $15.82, 29.2% below its 52-week high ($22.34). 52-week range: $15.64 – $22.34.
How volatile is BXDC stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 29% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 30.0%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does BXDC have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy BXDC?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bearish technical bias, RSI 36, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 28% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
🔦 Keep analyzing
Other stocks Faro watches