BNO — analysis and forecast
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year BNO is up 125.5%. Over about two years: +120.0%.
- Today it sits 7.6% below its 52-week high ($71.39) and +142.5% above the low ($27.20).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 34.5%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 57% of days. Best day: +9.6%. Worst day: -10.3%.
- Annual volatility around 47%: in a normal year a ±47% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bullish | 57% | $66.05 +0.2% | $64.11 – $68.06 |
| 3 days | Bullish | 58% | $66.26 +0.5% | $62.92 – $69.79 |
| 1 week | Bullish | 59% | $66.47 +0.8% | $62.17 – $71.07 |
| 15 days | Bullish | 60% | $67.00 +1.6% | $60.95 – $73.65 |
| 1 month | Bullish | 63% | $68.17 +3.4% | $59.44 – $78.19 |
| 3 months | Strongly bullish | 68% | $72.85 +10.5% | $57.46 – $92.37 |
Recent momentum: +7.3% over 20 days · +40.5% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for BNO. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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How much has BNO gone up in the last year?
United States Brent Oil Fund, LP (BNO) is up 125.5% over the last 12 months and trades at $65.95, 7.6% below its 52-week high ($71.39). 52-week range: $27.20 – $71.39.
How volatile is BNO stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 47% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 34.5%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does BNO have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy BNO?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bullish technical bias, RSI 53, price above its 50-day average and an estimated 63% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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