BCI — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Multibagger DNA is computed for companies, not ETFs or funds.
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year BCI is up 14.4%. Over about two years: +24.2%.
- Today it sits 6.1% below its 52-week high ($26.81) and +28.9% above the low ($19.53).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 16.3%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 55% of days. Best day: +3.8%. Worst day: -13.3%.
- Annual volatility around 14%: in a normal year a ±14% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Neutral | 48% | $25.19 +0.0% | $24.96 – $25.42 |
| 3 days | Neutral | 49% | $25.21 +0.1% | $24.82 – $25.61 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 49% | $25.23 +0.2% | $24.73 – $25.75 |
| 15 days | Neutral | 51% | $25.29 +0.4% | $24.57 – $26.03 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 53% | $25.41 +0.9% | $24.37 – $26.49 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 59% | $25.88 +2.8% | $24.08 – $27.81 |
Recent momentum: -2.7% over 20 days · +5.7% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for BCI. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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How much has BCI gone up in the last year?
abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF (BCI) is up 14.4% over the last 12 months and trades at $25.18, 6.1% below its 52-week high ($26.81). 52-week range: $19.53 – $26.81.
How volatile is BCI stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 14% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 16.3%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does BCI have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy BCI?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: neutral technical bias, RSI 21 (oversold zone), price below its 50-day average and an estimated 53% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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