ALMR — analysis and forecast
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the 137 sessions we have for ALMR it moved +31.5%.
- Today it sits 24.1% below its 52-week high ($38.13) and +51.6% above the low ($19.09).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 38.3%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 50% of days. Best day: +30.7%. Worst day: -15.4%.
- Annual volatility around 93%: in a normal year a ±93% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Neutral | 49% | $29.00 +0.2% | $27.36 – $30.74 |
| 3 days | Neutral | 49% | $29.11 +0.6% | $26.32 – $32.21 |
| 1 week | Neutral | 50% | $29.23 +1.0% | $25.66 – $33.30 |
| 15 days | Neutral | 51% | $29.53 +2.0% | $24.56 – $35.50 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 53% | $30.18 +4.3% | $23.11 – $39.42 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 57% | $32.83 +13.4% | $20.67 – $52.14 |
Recent momentum: -24.1% over 20 days · +1.7% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for ALMR. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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How much has ALMR gone up in the last year?
Alamar Biosciences (ALMR) is up 31.5% over the period with data and trades at $28.94, 24.1% below its 52-week high ($38.13). 52-week range: $19.09 – $38.13.
How volatile is ALMR stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 93% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 38.3%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does ALMR have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy ALMR?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: neutral technical bias, RSI 61, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 53% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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